ABSTRACT

    Recent research in economics, political science and public policy
    has outlined the factors that determine Internet diffusion from a
    broad, global perspective. Usually wealth and the level of
    infrastructure development are given as key factors in explaining
    outcomes in per capita Internet penetration rates. While such findings
    may provide a valid view of global trends, these factors fail to explain
    outcomes in the Internet penetration rates of several transition
    economies in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE).

    This research uses new institutional economic and political theory
    to investigate the impact of institutional change on Internet penetration
    rates in Estonia, Latvia, Slovakia and Slovenia. Of the four cases studied,
    Estonia and Slovenia have substantially different institutional settings and
    paths of transition but the same Internet penetration rates. Latvia’s
    institutions and path of transition are similar to that of Estonia but the
    Internet penetration rate is significantly different. Slovakia’s institutions
    and path of transition are closer to Slovenia than Estonia, but its
    outcome in Internet diffusion is different from that of Slovenia.

    Hence, substantially different settings of institutions and paths of transition
    can lead to similar outcomes in Internet penetration rates, while similar
    institutional frameworks and paths of transition have led to significantly
    different outcomes in Internet diffusion. However, once the initial institutional
    setting of countries before the transition from socialism to a market economy
    is taken into account, it becomes clear that institutional change that has
    encouraged openness throughout the economy is also crucial for increasing
    Internet diffusion.

    Based on the case studies, this paper argues that the Internet diffusion in
    transition and developing economies is encouraged through the privatization
    of the incumbent telecom company and the opening of the telecom market. 
    This requires that the telecom regulators be independent and stay free of
    political interventions, in order to secure maximum openness and fair play
    in the telecom sector. For this to be successful, this paper finds that these
    sector specific rules of the game have to be combined with a liberal trade
    and foreign direct investment regime.

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