Philip M. Gounev
International Policy Fellowship (2004-2005)

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The Economic Costs of Discrimination

The Economic Cost of Roma Discrimination in Bulgaria


Background and objective
During the forty years of communist regime in Bulgaria the government implemented a number of housing, education, and social policies, aiming to "integrate" the Roma minority. These ill-advised policies had little or a negative effects. Since 1989 successive governments in Bulgaria have done close to nothing on improving the livelihoods of the Roma. The adoption, in 1999 of a Framework Program for Equal Integration of the Roma in Bulgarian Society has not resulted on concrete policies. While the economic and social costs that the Roma minority has paid are quite obvious and have attracted lots of research and attention, none has really addressed the issue of the price that the Bulgaria's taxpayers have paid for theirs government's inaction. . Racial discrimination and government inaction have come at a terrible economic cost to Bulgaria's taxpayers. Unemployed and undereducated Roma end up more often in prison, on social assistance, repeating school grades, using emergency services, etc. The objective of this project is to estimate how much has the government overspent in the judicial and law-enforcement system, as well as on education, healthcare, and welfare benefits (unemployment, social assistance, and child-support).

Existing research
Most studies on the economics of discrimination have focused on providing a theoretical economic explanation of the discrimination. The only relevant model is the Ethnic Cartel model that suggests that economic gain is the main motive for discrimination, with the benefit achieved through collective action by economically dominant ethnic group, e.g.
Whites in the US. Lester Thurow (1969), who argues that Whites gain from discrimination, fails to provide any evidence, and rather assumes these gains.

There is a whole other body of literature that has focused on estimating the costs that minority groups or their individuals bare as a result of the discrimination. For example, the World Bank commissioned in 1994 an extensive study of the economic costs that indigenous people in South America have paid for being discriminated. Another body of literature has focused on estimating the costs that employers pay for discriminating. Staff who believe or perceive they are being harassed or discriminated against in the workplace become dissatisfied and unhappy, which may ultimately lead to resignations. Costs associated with such scenarios include: recruitment costs, training costs, performance "catch-up" costs, legal costs associated with complaints and claims, etc.

The most relevant analogical studies on the costs of discrimination have been done on the economic costs of gender discrimination. The UN State of World Population Report 2000, for example estimates that the a 1 percent increase in female secondary schooling results in a 0.3 percent increase in economic growth.

Project activity and plan
The main goal of the project will be to produce a policy / advocacy paper that clearly demonstrates to the government that it is much cheaper not to discriminate and instead to invest in programs for improving the livelihoods of the Roma and Turkish minorities. The project will consist of four sub-studies in the areas of judiciary and law-enforcement, education, healthcare, and welfare assistance. Each study will examine the government spending in the year preceding the fellowship, i.e. 2003. Each study will also rest on the following assumption. If the government has spent on healthcare on average $350 per year per Roma person and only $200 per Bulgarian person, then, I will consider the additional amount to be a cost of discrimination. Of course, this example is an oversimplification but this will be the general principle.

In the area of judiciary and law-enforcement, the project will undertake a general study to find what is the population of Roma and Turkish descent in Bulgarian prisons, and what are the costs associated with it. The study will also look at law-enforcement initiatives, going above and beyond the ordinary, specifically aimed at minority neighborhoods, where criminality and certain crimes are overrepresented. The working presumption in
this sub-study is that high unemployment and lack of perspectives force Roma into petty crime and the grey economy. Thus, they are disproportionately represented in correctional institutions.

In the area of education, the project will look closer at education programs and will estimate the number of repeats, efforts to bring back drop-outs, enrollment practices. The working presumption here, is that the lack of adequate education programs, force many Roma to repeat grades. The disproportionately high number of drop-outs forces schools and teachers to use a number of different methods, by visiting houses, or having additional teacher-parents meetings, etc. Most of all, the project will look at the overuse of special-care institutions, where many Roma end up, presumed to be mentally retarded.

In healthcare, the study will focus on the disproportionate use of Roma of certain healthcare services, especially emergency services. The lack of health culture, family planning, and infrastructure, leads many Roma to use healthcare only as a last resort, thus relying on the more expensive emergency services. The lack of adequate sanitation and health culture is also a reason why many Roma often contract a number of diseases,
including skin diseases, diarrhea, TB, etc. Inadequate nutrition is also a great contributor to higher rates of TB. The ripple effects of the Roma's lower health status has a number of other effects in terms of lost wages, greater reliance on social assistance, etc.

In regards to the government costs in welfare assistance, the study will explore the disproportionate spending of the government of unemployment benefits, social assistance, and child-support. Here the working presumptions are several. Unemployment rates among Roma are much higher, so the their use of unemployment benefits and social assistance (such as energy support) is disproportionate (this is not necessarily always true). In the area of child-support, the working presumption is that the lack of adequate family planning programs and services leads to many unplanned or unwanted pregnancies. This results in higher use of expensive abortions, high use of child-support, and use or children being sent to institutions.
 
Methodology

To each of the above four areas will be devoted two to three months. The study will be concentrated in the regions and or municipalities with greater concentration of Roma. I will rely on interviews as well as on internal reports of the relevant regional representatives of ministries, and local branches of the National Statistical Institute, and municipal authorities. Once the interview / field part of the study has been finalized an analysis of the data gathered will be conducted. If the funding allows, or if the Center for the Study of Democracy agrees to, I could use the help of research assistants in analyzing the data. Since I will not be able to visit and interview every single locality with minority population, a statistical analysis and inference will be conducted based on the existing data.

Project effects

If the project demonstrates the enormous cost of discrimination, there will be several effects. First, the relevant policy makers will be more likely to approve and advocate spending on minority development programs. Many of the top-level policy makers, with whom the Center for the Study of Democracy closely works, have been educated in Western institutions, and value above all cost-efficiency in government spending. Second, minority members of Parliament will be able to use the study as an argument to encourage and approve budgetary provisions for minority development programs.

Finally, advocacy NGOs in Bulgaria will be given a powerful tool to push for new policies. The proposed project could also be used beyond Bulgaria. Most likely a similar study in other Eastern European countries will have the same results. The study could serve as an advocacy tool by other bodies, especially the European Union. The EU accession process is the most efficient way to urge change in government policies towards minorities. The study could also benefit advocacy organizations around the
world that work against racism.


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updated on 2 March 2004   located at www.policy.hu/gounev
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